Potential Cyclone for EVO!

Quote:

TROPICAL CYCLONE OUTLOOK
FOR THE AREA BETWEEN LONGITUDES 125 EAST - 142 EAST
Issued by the BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
at 2:15 pm CST Tuesday 18 January 2005

A TROPICAL LOW, 1008 hPa, is situated in the northern TIMOR SEA and is moving
westwards. The low is weak and will continue to move away from the Top End. It
is NOT expected to develop into a TROPICAL CYCLONE during the next three days.

A second TROPICAL LOW, 1006 hPa, is situated in the northern CORAL SEA and is
expected to move west into the northern GULF OF CARPENTARIA in the next day or
so. The TROPICAL LOW may develop into a TROPICAL CYCLONE late in the week.

The potential for development of a TROPICAL CYCLONE in the GULF OF CARPENTARIA
over the next few days is estimated to be:
Wednesday: low,
Thursday: low,
Friday: moderate.

NOTE: Development Potential is an estimate of the probability of tropical
cyclone development for each day... Low = 10% or less, Moderate = 20% - 40%,
High = 50% or more.

DARWIN Regional Forecasting Centre.

http://www.weatherzone.com.au/charts/twcGrads.jsp?model=gfs&chart=mslp&hour=-1

Could make it a damn interesting LAN. Hope foskeys is built to code ;) Make sure you have umbrellas for your PC's - and ropes to hold you to the ground ;)

Ah - what fun we'll have :)

Looks pretty dark looking out side my window.

Quote from Evil:
looking out side my window.

Drifting?

Quote:

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR SOUTH PACIFIC AND

SOUTH-EAST INDIAN OCEANS

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 18.01.2005

TROPICAL STORM ANALYSED IN THE MODEL AT POSITION : 10.3S 145.6E

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY

-------------- -------- -------- --------

00UTC 18.01.2005 10.3S 145.6E WEAK

12UTC 18.01.2005 10.4S 144.4E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE

00UTC 19.01.2005 11.1S 144.0E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE

12UTC 19.01.2005 11.1S 142.1E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE

00UTC 20.01.2005 10.5S 139.6E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE

12UTC 20.01.2005 10.4S 140.4E WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY

00UTC 21.01.2005 10.6S 140.4E WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY

12UTC 21.01.2005 11.2S 140.5E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE

00UTC 22.01.2005 11.3S 139.1E MODERATE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY

12UTC 22.01.2005 11.4S 138.1E STRONG INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY

00UTC 23.01.2005 11.3S 137.1E INTENSE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY

12UTC 23.01.2005 11.4S 136.1E INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY

00UTC 24.01.2005 11.6S 135.3E INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE

RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS

AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

http://www.bom.gov.au/info/cyclone/newpamphlet/plotmap.pdf

Wow... intense is CAT 4 or 5.....

hehe just saw a 4wd crash into a rx7 or whatever it was some little mazda liek that, in the lane next to me on the way home from work.
i had to laugh :)

yeah saw the same one. didnt laugh though and im pretty sure it wasnt an rx7

it was a mazda i was looking at it before the insident, it wasnt a bad crash as both cars kept going casue they couldnt pull over to flam each other casue of traffic conditions. this happened between the showgrounds and the amy johnson lights

OOooo cyclone, YAY YAY YAY YAY YAY.

Im gona take a cast net so that i can get as many computer parts as possable :)

Hope not .. Im going fishing.

Quote from Unseen:
Hope not .. Im going fishing.

Well, was nice knowing you ;)

ROFL
aww god nice comment

if it comes means I have to stay home. :(

ahh well pings are fixed on TPG dsl .. :)

i expect pings will be better at DGA, ... well I hope they will.
either way, 2 days of gaming this is one weekend I am looking forward to. That and meeting some Old friends :D

plus ull get to meet me :)

Quote from Unseen:
Hope not .. Im going fishing.

remind us why you are confirmed for EVO then?

Quote from Burk:
remind us why you are confirmed for EVO then?

Because the dodgy registration wouldnt let me unregister.

Now that there is a chance that the weather is going to be bad .. I might actually be there..

nice of you DGA ADMIN person to be thinking of me though .. much appreciated :)

Just along as there isn't too much thunder and any power outages all will be good :)

are there some anti-lightening technologies that DGA have when it comes to storms and cyclones?

its called unplug if u have doubts :)

Quote from Unseen:
its called unplug if u have doubts :)

rofl, that's the same device I have at my place :)

good device .. and good thing is its FREE !!!! :)

yeah it would be pretty ****ed if foskey pavilion got hit by a direct strike

*recalls images of the darwin wireless antenna & AP* :o

meh I want that to happen at my house so that i can claim insurance on this POS :P

TROPICAL CYCLONE OUTLOOK
FOR THE AREA BETWEEN LONGITUDES 125 EAST - 142 EAST
Issued by the BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
at 2:15 pm CST Wednesday 19 January 2005

A developing TROPICAL LOW 1005 hPa is situated near CAPE YORK PENINSULA. At 12
noon it was near latitude 11.8S, longitude 143.2E, about 170 km northeast of
Weipa, and moving towards the southwest at about 20 km/h. The LOW is expected to
move slowly over Cape York and then into the GULF OF CARPENTARIA on Friday or
Saturday.

The potential for development of a TROPICAL CYCLONE in the GULF OF CARPENTARIA
over the next few days is estimated to be:
Thursday: low,
Friday: mod,
Saturday: high.

NOTE: Development Potential is an estimate of the probability of tropical
cyclone development for each day... Low = 10% or less, Moderate = 20% - 40%,
High = 50% or more.

DARWIN Regional Forecasting Centre.

that explains the rain...

well, i hope someone brings a radio to EVO :)

Pft... Radio... Who needs a radio?!

Mock...
yeah
ing...
yeah
bird...
yeah
yeah...
yeah
Mumma's gonna buy me a mocking bird...

It will be like last year...me running around in the rain with lots of expensive computer gear trying to keep it dry between Foskey's Pavillion and the car...fun fun fun.

was there rain last year. didnt notice any

lol same, where u at last evo wally....i dont remember

It rained last yeah casue I rember having to use a towel to stop the water getting in my 21" monitor.

there was lots of rain, torrential downpours.. it even flooded the floor near the roller door.... which reminds me..

there will be an area upstairs taped off.. no sleepies there, this is due to a broken gutter which floods parts of the top floor.. if you want to jump the rope and sleep there, that's up to you.. (you can see the water marks on the concrete)

AFAIK someones computer was destroyed at last Evo because of the rain.

Are there showers near the fosky pavillion?

Not that Im aware of...and whos computer got fried at Evo 4???

Quote from Seqo:
AFAIK someones computer was destroyed at last Evo because of the rain.

didn't hear that?

Quote from cham pipple:
Are there showers near the fosky pavillion?

i think there are some at foskey, albeit COLD!

It didn't actually happen at the LAN, happened on the way to it or something.

Looks like Monday/Tuesday is the expected time for that tropical system to influence us now (either as a low or a cyclone) so EVO seems safe... At this stage anyway - these things are hard to predict :)

Cool .. Fishing is on there :)

Thanks for the info OD .. been watching this closely too.

meh, if the cyclone hit while i was at the EVO, id die a happy man. well kinda happy...
there are about three better ways to die.

w00t w00t! i'm bringin a tarp and my jumper...it's ****en RAWK getting a cyclone, apart from all the computer stuff gettin injured :|