Cyclone Monica

Page 1 of 3; 220 public posts in this discussion.

Post 1

Well, I've always said that as soon as I leave you Darwinites will get a cyclone. Looks like my theory is about to be tested...

*** NEW ***
Add your cyclone media here: http://monica.infoaddict.net/
*** NEW ***

http://www.bom.gov.au/cgi-bin/wrap_fwo.pl?IDDP0002.txt

WeatherZone - Chat about Monica

WeatherZone - Reports/Obs about Monica

[Image: http://www.bom.gov.au/fwo/IDD65801.gif]

[Image: http://www.bom.gov.au/fwo/IDD65001.gif]

[Image: http://www.npmoc.navy.mil/jtwc/warnings/sh2306.gif]

http://www.ecmwf.int/products/forecasts/d/charts/medium/deterministic/msl_uv850_z500!Wind%20850%20and%20mslp!72!Australia!pop!od!oper!public_plots!2006042012!!/

Post 2

****ing pissing me off thats for sure, i miss out on fishing more than likely this weekend now, was hopfully going out to Bathurst Island, but if the cyclone crosses thar will be high seas

Post 3

damn, well you'll have to go to DGA instead

Post 4

Looks like Katherine might flood yet again.

Post 5

[Image: http://www.bom.gov.au/fwo/IDG00073.gif]

Post 6

That kinda put the cyclone dangerously close to Darwin :/

Post 7

Quote from Minorci:
****ing pissing me off thats for sure, i miss out on fishing more than likely this weekend now, was hopfully going out to Bathurst Island, but if the cyclone crosses thar will be high seas

Fishing?? Dont mention fishing. This weekend is our annual charter weekend, 2 folks flew in from interstate today, and two more in the next two days. At least the lads driving up from Katherine can cancel at the last minute, but we've invested more than ten grand on a 4 day trip that doesn't look like happening.

Rescheduling this is gonna suck. The whole weekend is gonna suck. Kinda typical it's name is "Monica". I'm gonna punch that Bill Clinton guy in the mouth.

Post 8

Quote from jabsy:
Fishing?? Dont mention fishing. This weekend is our annual charter weekend, 2 folks flew in from interstate today, and two more in the next two days. At least the lads driving up from Katherine can cancel at the last minute, but we've invested more than ten grand on a 4 day trip that doesn't look like happening.

Rescheduling this is gonna suck. The whole weekend is gonna suck. Kinda typical it's name is "Monica". I'm gonna punch that Bill Clinton guy in the mouth.

Ouch dude that sucks.

Post 9

Thats a little too close to darwin!!

Post 10

http://www.news.com.au/story/0,10117,18871430-421,00.html

Post 11

Getting close to game on time. Cat 4 now and desperate to keep it's DGA appointment ;) (Nah, will hit just after DGA)

Post 12

it's not looking good. will have to make a call on DGA after the next announcement.

Post 13

This blows. I am supposed to be flying back into darwin sunday night, could be a little intresting. Not to mention bumby :(
Who need roller coasters.

Post 14

looking at front page map, by 23rd its not even impacting darwin yet so i dont think DGA would be affected (but postponing it would be good for me, my comp is on backorder)

Post 15

but remember that a lot of the DGA officials are older than those attending and have other responsibilities at home and work (as in IT professionals bagging PCs :cry: and home owners securing their homes and families) so there is a lot more to consider.. not just 50pcs being blown away at the greek school.

I am waiting on the cyclone to either turn towards gove, or have some other movement that will help in this deicison.. although i've just received an email from the CEO saying Quote:
make sure all your computer equipment is turned off and bagged securely before you leave the building this evening.

Post 16

bloody monica has flooded the gulf :| "then again the water from larry didnt help either" who knows when i can go back to work have to wait for the flooding to go away lol macair of course decided to put there ticket price to $800 1 way because of the flood instead of putting on more flights.

Post 17

Monica has intensified to Cat 4, 235km/h winds now, but still little movement. Pretty soon she's gonna take off to the west i reckon.

Post 18

what category was larry?

Post 19

Cat 4 mainly, 5 briefly just before it hit the coast. i think.

[Image: http://www.bom.gov.au/weather/qld/cyclone/tc_larry/images/tc_larry_track.png]

Ingrid was definately 5. :)

[Image: http://www.bom.gov.au/inside/services_policy/tc_ingrid/images/Ingrid_best_track_small.png]

Post 20

Yep stand by to stand by :(

Where's OD when there's a decent blow coming our way ????

Well least Sponge is here now :P

Post 21

Quote from Kronk:
Where's OD when there's a decent blow coming our way ????

Read the first line of the first post of this thread mate :)

If your worried about your property/life - fly me up, it'll guarantee the cyclone doesnt hit darwin ;)

Post 22

ahahaah OD FTW !!!!

Post 23

Now cat 4 cyclone. As a precaution I suggest those in Darwin shop tonight or early tomorrow for their cyclone kit as it will be madness in the stores if/when Darwin goes on a watch.

If we miss out great, you have food for the next week.

Post 24

950hp and falling. Looks like she will be a cat 5 before land.

Post 25

Quote from Minorci:
950hp and falling. Looks like she will be a cat 5 before land.

Not looking good for poor gove :(

Post 26

a good, powerful cat 5 at that.

Post 27

woot nice one, good to see some crazy action up there. Although I do hope nothing bad happens of course :(

Post 28

Time for kite surfing hey Minorci :D

Post 29

latest Sat image u can see the eye nicely now.

Post 30

Quote from Monkey:
Time for kite surfing hey Minorci :D

zomg on a yacht or something so you could stay in the water :P You would get lifted on a normal board ;)

Post 31

Point Stuart, 80km's from Darwin, is now on cyclone watch... not long now - shop now before the rush...

Post 32

Nice sat loop - broadband only.

http://realtime2.bsch.au.com/cyclone_monica.html?mode=visfine

Post 33

looks like dry season outside

Post 34

She's gone CAT5

Post 35

Bit of an erratic path there... and don't you just love the heat we get while she sucks up all the rain? http://mirror.bom.gov.au/products/IDR632.loop.shtml

Not an ounce of rain to cool us down :(

Post 36

Erm heat? its been nice and cool outside all day, its suddenly like dry season weather :/

Post 37

No wind, all quiet.
Must be a big storm on the way.
Even the birds were quite today.
Hope I am wrong.

Post 38

Quote from Lataf:
No wind, all quiet.
Must be a big storm on the way.
Even the birds were quite today.
Hope I am wrong.

bloody cane toads are noisy as though... time to go down to the "lakes" and try get em again. Bastards hang out on the lillypads and I dont think people would be happy to see a bow-totting wierdo stalking through their golf course, so stuck with a baseball bat. *sigh* They could've been such fun... err.. what were we talking about?

Post 39

Oh god help us.............please...........

Post 40

Melville island now under watch... Darwin by morning... and its not a weak CAT5 either...

Post 41

Will be interesting to see if it tracks along the coast or not, if so we could be in for a bit of rough weather soon enough.

Post 42

320km/hr she's getting angry :)

Post 43

JSWC have it tracking right over Darwin, bit sureal. JSWC normally get it right too.....

Post 44

too bad DGA didnt go ahead. doesnt look like coming near till monday night at best.

Post 45

Theres a cyclone?

Post 46

Quote from Unseen:
too bad DGA didnt go ahead. doesnt look like coming near till monday night at best.

if only cyclones were predictable.

Post 47

Darwin now on a cyclone watch.

Post 48

Quote from Burk:
if only cyclones were predictable.

true dat, i caught the edge of 1 in broome, was pretty cool .. however a direct hit .. on your own :p

Post 49

with this coming im wondering if somebody can set up a web cam for her visit to darwin.

Post 50

http://www.ecocam.com.au/cameras/darlo.php

Post 51

The JCU Metsat Infra Red Event Movie

http://eng.jcu.edu.au/JCUMetSat/eventmovie.gif

Hang in there Gove ! That's a Radar picture I never like seeing :(

http://mirror.bom.gov.au/products/IDR092.loop.shtml

Post 52

From the weatherzone forums...

"Here's something very freaky:

1942: Bombing of Darwin - city destroyed
1974: Cyclone Tracy - city destroyed
2006: Cyclone Monica - ?

All 32 years apart!

1942 + 32 = 1974
1974 + 32 = 2006 "

To which I'll add, last week I turned 32 ;)

Post 53

it's your fault OD.

Post 54

I said that in my first post... I've also offered to come up and act as a barrier... no takers so far...

Latest threat map out - http://www.bom.gov.au/products/IDD65811.shtml - time to be worried folks...

Post 55

Ohh lol have fun :|
Looks like she going to eat Darwin up :P

Post 56

gove is currently being smashed.

Post 57

Quote from OverDrive:
From the weatherzone forums...

"Here's something very freaky:

1942: Bombing of Darwin - city destroyed
1974: Cyclone Tracy - city destroyed
2006: Cyclone Monica - ?

All 32 years apart!

1942 + 32 = 1974
1974 + 32 = 2006 "

To which I'll add, last week I turned 32 ;)

Does that mean that Canberra's gonna have a major fire now?? :P

Post 58

Now your freaking ME out man ;)

Post 59

lol

"Positive waves Moriarty"

:P

Post 60

Once again, poached from weatherzone forums - shot of the eye :

[Image: http://realtime2.bsch.au.com/monica_eyewall.jpg]

Post 61

Also small bit of fact the emergency services noted, it's a fairly perfect storm. Nicely circular.

Post 62

Hmm, was just down at woolies getting some stuff for dinner, decided to pick a few cans of this and that. Not too much panic buying yet, so get in there while it's sane.

As soon as it gets cloudy and gusty the shops will be chockas - mark my words :)

Post 63

you must have got in at a good time.. i've been told there are many hysterical customers in an out of woolworths.

Post 64

Quote from Burk:
you must have got in at a good time.. i've been told there are many hysterical customers in an out of woolworths.

I figured that by Sunday arvie the up-early-and-at-'em crowd would have been and gone. There might be another rush tonight if the TV news is bad. I expect panic buying to be well underway by tomorrow afternoon, especially since lots of people were going to call in sick.

Post 65

350km/h winds at 5pm! it's getting stronger

Post 66

ignore this.

Post 67

man why does it have to come on tuesday
we are already getting the day off on tuesday, it should come on wednesday god dammit

Post 68

Cyclone Tracy - Public Holiday
Cyclone Monica - Public Holiday

Post 69

New tracks out, and it doesn't look good... http://www.bom.gov.au/products/IDD65811.shtml

Post 70

Cummon people, get those webcams going

I really would like to see it ..............real time :P

Post 71

You guys should be on TC warning TONITE !!!

according to here

http://www.weatherzone.com.au/cgi-bin/ultimatebb.cgi?ubb=get_topic;f=12;t=000404;p=109

Post 72

If it hits big, think I'll be taking the family into the bombshelter/server room at work.. wonder if they'll mind (can just see my daughter sucking on a rack mounted HP server) =)

Hawkeye, will try to rig up something in the office - dont have much sky view but you should at least see heaps of trees get smashed :P

Post 73

DO that then contact OD, he will set you up with streaming video

Post 74

have to remember to get a before and after shot =)

Post 75

Hahaha just spoke to my brother in Gove... just said they're like 80kms from the eye of the storm.. and they've got bugger all wind. In fact, he and their neighbours are sitting on their back verandahs having BBQs. Champions. Says they have only had spitting rain the last few hours. the trees are moving a bit, but less than most storms.

Post 76

another alternate cyclone site is the US NAvy's radar at montery - http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_home2.cgi?YEAR=2006&MO=04&BASIN=SHEM&STORM_NAME=23P.MONICA&PROD=track_vis&PHOT=yes&ARCHIVE=active&NAV=tc&AGE=Latest&STYLE=tables&DISPLAY=Latest

Supposedly they've never been wrong with a track.

Post 77

OK folks... been bored this afternoon (day off) and while waiting between updates, decided to put together a site where people could easily send photos, sat shots, radar images, etc of the cyclone. If as many of you as possible register up and add some images to it, that would rock. It would be great if we could be known as the home of monica photo's (image the google searches to get that).

Either way, add something to it so it doesn't seem like all my work was in vain :)

http://monica.infoaddict.net

Post 78

http://mirror.bom.gov.au/products/IDR092.loop.shtml

Post 79

this is looking bad for darwin atm.. hope it bumps off and goes out away from the tiwi islands and darwin

Post 80

From Weatherzone

Quote:
[FONT=Verdana, Arial]Back again. Kids fed and eaten too much. I went to Woolies out here in Palmerslum and this Kiwi chich said that she had not made plans because she doubted it would effewct us. I had to reply "Good, we've been trying to get rid of you guys for years"...lol[/FONT]

Post 81

It will have to be a direct hit to do much damage going by my bro's comments on the phone earlier. This cyclone is tiny. Dont forget, most houses here are built for this stuff now. The requirements in the cyclone code added after tracy, my grandad already had in his house and it survived with 0 damage (his pool was a different story, heap of cars in it :P )

Post 82

Quote from OverDrive:
Either way, add something to it so it doesn't seem like all my work was in vain :)

http://monica.infoaddict.net

added a nice enhanced satelite picture found on whirlpool

Post 83

Excellent - thats the stuff we want :)

Post 84

http://www.nt.gov.au/ntg/cyclone.shtml
http://www.abc.net.au/nt/stories/cyclone.htm

Post 85

Alrighty got some more info for ya.. -

Cape Wessel is an automatic weather station near nhulunbuy. Last recorded wind data was 130km/h winds... CONSTANT.. not gusts, gusts would be near 180+.

Cape is no longer reporting data, missed the last update, could be a comms failure or the cyclone has actually taken it out.

http://www.bom.gov.au/products/IDD65152/IDD65152.94147.shtml

[Image: http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real-time/shemi/storm/dvor-nh26.GIF]

Post 86

Before I go off to be I thought people might be interested in this picture.
http://www.npmoc.navy.mil/jtwc/warnings/sh2306sa.gif

[Image: http://www.npmoc.navy.mil/jtwc/warnings/sh2306sa.gif]

EDIT: If the picture should go down or change as of 2006-04-24T12:38:25+9:30 the picture shows the cyclone heading for Darwin and right into Darwin on the 25th.

EDIT2: Oh and this weatherzone post says that the prediction on the map is still a cat 5.

Post 87

if thats the case thank god i got some things like was suggested before the rush comes.

EDIT - Not many people at the shops (coles, woolworths, BigW, Kmart and Casuarina for that matter)

Post 88

I updated my post BTW. That map I posted says that the cyclone will still be a cat 5 by the time it gets to Darwin. I hope everyone is stocked up.

Post 89

oh shit

Post 90

Quote from Jay:
oh shit
Indeed.

I may well be running to Katherine tommorow, if this keeps up.

Post 91

So where are people gunna go if it does hit?
And are the schools all closed for tomorrow like i have heard??

Post 92

At the moment no, school and work is not closed. I view this as a mistake as it would allow more time for people to get ready but oh well. It seems it wont hit till late tuesday sometime wednesday anyway.

Post 93

ITS STILL COMING, BRACE YOURSELVES

http://www.ntnews.news.com.au/common/story_page/0,7034,18908973%255E13569,00.html

http://152.80.49.216/tc_thumbs/20060423.1830.gms-6.ir.23P.MONICA.155kts.879mb.11.2S.135.8E.jpg

http://www.weatherzone.com.au/cgi-bin/ultimatebb.cgi?ubb=get_topic;f=12;t=000407;p=10

Listen to the radio's and TV today people !!!

THOSE WARNINGS WILL COME

Post 94

waiting for the 8am update before i go to work

Post 95

Quote:
[FONT=courier]
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 61
Issued by the BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
at 8:00 am CST Monday 24 April 2006

A CYCLONE WARNING is now current for coastal and island communities between CAPE
WESSEL and DALY RIVER MOUTH, including DARWIN, the TIWI ISLANDS, COBOURG
PENINSULA and JABIRU.

A CYCLONE WATCH extends southwest between DALY RIVER MOUTH and PORT KEATS.

The CYCLONE WARNING between NHULUNBUY and CAPE WESSEL has been cancelled.

At 7 am CST SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE Monica CATEGORY 5 was located about 80
kilometres north of ELCHO ISLAND, 180 kilometres northwest of NHULUNBUY and 520
kilometres east northeast of DARWIN, moving west at 13 kilometres per hour. The
cyclone will move further west and closer to the coast later today. The cyclone
is then expected to weaken slightly as it passes over the COBOURG PENINSULA
tonight, but will still be a SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE as it moves across the
northwest DARWIN-DALY and TIWI ISLANDS area during Tuesday.

The VERY DESTRUCTIVE core of SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE Monica with gusts to 350
kilometres per hour is currently affecting the islands off the northeast Arnhem
Land coast and is expected to cross the north coast between MANINGRIDA and
CROKER ISLAND later today, and approach DARWIN-DALY and TIWI ISLAND area on
Tuesday afternoon.

DESTRUCTIVE WINDS with gusts to 160 kilometres per hour are currently being
experienced on the remaining islands about the northeast Arnhem Land coast, and
should extend further west to CAPE DON by tonight.

GALES with gusts to 100 kilometres per hour are currently being experienced on
the northeast Arnhem Land coast, and will extend westward ahead of the cyclone,
reaching the northwest DARWIN-DALY and TIWI ISLANDS area on Tuesday morning.

DANGEROUSLY HIGH TIDES could cause EXTENSIVE FLOODING at the coast between
NHULUNBUY and ELCHO ISLAND this morning, extending westwards to GOULBURN ISLAND
later today.

HEAVY RAIN is expected to cause significant stream rises and flooding of low
lying areas in northeastern Arnhem Land this morning, extending across the
remainder of the northern Top End during the day.

Details of SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE Monica at 7 am CST:
. Centre located near...... 11.3 degrees South 135.5 degrees East
. Location accuracy........ within 30 kilometres
. Recent movement.......... towards the west at 13 km/h
. Wind gusts near centre... 350 kilometres per hour
. Intensity................ CATEGORY 5
. Central pressure......... 915 hectoPascals

REPEATING: A CYCLONE WARNING is current between CAPE WESSEL and DALY RIVER
MOUTH, including DARWIN, TIWI ISLANDS, COBOURG PENINSULA and JABIRU.
A CYCLONE WATCH extends southwest to PORT KEATS.

The next advice will be issued at 11 am CST.

This advice is available on telephone NT-1300 659 211

DARWIN Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre[/FONT] http://www.bom.gov.au/cgi-bin/wrap_fwo.pl?IDDP0002.txt

Post 96

EDIT: NVM I didnt refresh :P

Post 97

Here's the promised webcam - sorry bout the crap quality - dodgy old webcam :) (if someone wants to donate a decent one, that's fine =)

http://www.entity1.com/index.cfm?attributes.fuseaction=treeCam

Shot is out the window of the office at the most visible piece of sky.... If Darwin gets hit, the office will stay powered, the building should run for like 4 weeks under it's own steam or something, and those windows have steel shutters above them, so theoretically, the webcam should stay up the whole time.

Post 98

Quote from Aegis:
Here's the promised webcam - sorry bout the crap quality - dodgy old webcam :) (if someone wants to donate a decent one, that's fine =)

http://www.entity1.com/index.cfm?attributes.fuseaction=treeCam

Shot is out the window of the office at the most visible piece of sky.... If Darwin gets hit, the office will stay powered, the building should run for like 4 weeks under it's own steam or something, and those windows have steel shutters above them, so theoretically, the webcam should stay up the whole time.

Deadset legend. What's your update frequency on that image?

Post 99

not long now b4 it hits
atm im doing a clean up of the yard and the rest

Post 100

Quote from OverDrive:
Deadset legend. What's your update frequency on that image?

Ah sorry, yeah 30 seconds :) found my wife's logitech clicksmart, if i have to go back into work today, will try to take it in and hook it up on another machine looking out the side window (can see the big stupid billboard up near daily street bridge through that - surely the first to go as the winds pick up)